I want to learn about financial modeling and analysis
Welcome! I'm excited to help you master financial modeling.
Before we dive into our first topic, I would love to learn a little bit about your background so I can tailor everything perfectly for you.
Could you tell me about your current level of experience with finance or Excel, and what your main goal is for learning financial modeling (like professional development, investing, or a career transition)?
I know basic Excel but want to learn the formal finance side.
The Blueprint of a Business
Continue to how models are used to make decisions
Let's explore how companies use these virtual sandboxes to make major moves.
How Models Power Big Decisions
- : This is the process of deciding which long-term projects are worth pursuing. If a retail giant wants to open 50 new stores, they will build a model to estimate the upfront construction costs, the hiring expenses, and the future sales of those locations to see if the investment yields a high enough return.
- Capital Raising: If a company decides to build those stores, how should they pay for them? A model helps them run "what-if" scenarios comparing debt (taking out a bank loan) versus equity (selling shares of the company to investors). It shows how loan interest payments might pinch their cash, or how selling stock might dilute ownership.
- Valuation: This is where we answer the ultimate question: What is this business actually worth? By forecasting a company's cash flow years into the future, investors can calculate a fair price to pay for the company today. This is the cornerstone of stock analysis and .
Before we move to the math and mechanics of building these, we need to understand the raw materials that go into them. Every dynamic model relies on three fundamental accounting statements to tell the story of a business.
Continue to the three core financial statements
The Three Statements in a Nutshell
- The Income Statement: This measures profitability over a period of time (like a quarter or a year). It starts with your revenue, subtracts your expenses, and leaves you with your net income (your profit).
- The Balance Sheet: This is a snapshot of a single moment in time. It shows what the company owns (Assets), what it owes to others (Liabilities), and what is left over for the owners (Equity). It must always obey the foundational accounting equation:
- The Cash Flow Statement: This tracks the actual cash coming in and going out during a period. Because accounting uses rules that do not always match up with when physical cash changes hands, this statement reconciles net income back to actual cold, hard cash.
Now that we have the definitions down, we can explore how they talk to each other in a real model.